Third Division Round 11

Montrose vs Stranraer analysis

Montrose Stranraer
52 ELO 57
7.2% Tilt -0.9%
3533º General ELO ranking 5071º
41º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
42.5%
Montrose
26.5%
Draw
31%
Stranraer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
Montrose
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montrose
-17%
-9%
Stranraer

ELO progression

Montrose
Stranraer
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montrose
Montrose
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2007
POL
Pollok FC
0 - 1
Montrose
MON
17%
22%
61%
53 18 35 0
27 Oct. 2007
MON
Montrose
2 - 2
Pollok FC
POL
78%
14%
8%
53 18 35 0
20 Oct. 2007
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 3
Montrose
MON
46%
25%
29%
53 49 4 0
12 Oct. 2007
MON
Montrose
0 - 0
Elgin City
ELG
61%
21%
18%
53 47 6 0
06 Oct. 2007
MON
Montrose
3 - 1
East Stirlingshire
THE
63%
20%
17%
52 44 8 +1

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2007
GIR
Girvan
1 - 2
Stranraer
STR
18%
23%
59%
56 22 34 0
20 Oct. 2007
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 1
Stranraer
STR
29%
26%
45%
56 42 14 0
06 Oct. 2007
STR
Stranraer
1 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
41%
24%
35%
56 60 4 0
29 Sep. 2007
STR
Stranraer
3 - 3
Elgin City
ELG
69%
19%
13%
56 46 10 0
22 Sep. 2007
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 4
Stranraer
STR
50%
24%
25%
55 52 3 +1