Montrose vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
MON
0 - 3
PET
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
THE
1 - 2
MON
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
BLA
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MON
0 - 2
CLY
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 1
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
THE
1 - 7
FAL
19%
23%
59%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
HAM
1 - 0
FAL
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 1
HAM
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FAL
3 - 1
QOS
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
QOS
2 - 1
FAL
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |