Scottish League Two . Jor. 14

Montrose vs Berwick Rangers analysis

Montrose Berwick Rangers
40 ELO 49
13% Tilt -0.1%
3137º General ELO ranking 6049º
30º Country ELO ranking 62º
ELO win probability
27.1%
Montrose
23.1%
Draw
49.8%
Berwick Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
Montrose
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.8%
Win probability
Berwick Rangers
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montrose
+23%
+7%
Berwick Rangers

ELO progression

Montrose
Berwick Rangers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montrose
Montrose
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2014
THE
East Stirlingshire
4 - 0
Montrose
MON
52%
22%
26%
41 39 2 0
15 Nov. 2014
BLA
Annan Athletic
2 - 2
Montrose
MON
73%
17%
10%
41 53 12 0
08 Nov. 2014
MON
Montrose
0 - 3
Clyde
CLY
43%
25%
32%
43 48 5 -2
25 Oct. 2014
MON
Montrose
1 - 5
Arbroath
ARB
32%
24%
44%
44 51 7 -1
18 Oct. 2014
QUE
Queen's Park
2 - 0
Montrose
MON
55%
23%
23%
45 46 1 -1

Matches

Berwick Rangers
Berwick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2014
BER
Berwick Rangers
1 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
49%
24%
27%
50 52 2 0
22 Nov. 2014
BER
Berwick Rangers
2 - 0
Annan Athletic
BLA
46%
25%
30%
49 53 4 +1
15 Nov. 2014
BER
Berwick Rangers
2 - 3
East Fife
EAS
68%
18%
14%
50 43 7 -1
08 Nov. 2014
THE
East Stirlingshire
0 - 2
Berwick Rangers
BER
30%
23%
47%
50 39 11 0
01 Nov. 2014
EAS
East Fife
2 - 3
Berwick Rangers
BER
38%
25%
38%
49 44 5 +1
X