Montrose vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
9º
4º
56
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FAL
3 - 2
MON
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
STI
36%
26%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MON
5 - 2
EDI
68%
18%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COV
0 - 2
MON
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
QOS
2 - 3
MON
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 1
EDI
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
RFC
4 - 1
ALL
50%
20%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 1
ALL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
ALL
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 0
COV
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |