CF Montréal U23 vs CS Longueuil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
11º
6º
24
7º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 39 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
5º
|
75% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
72% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Montréal U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 0
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
LAV
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +3 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ROY
2 - 0
MON
63%
19%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 2
ASB
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
MON
22%
20%
58%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CS Longueuil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LON
2 - 0
LAV
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OTT
2 - 0
LON
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HUB
2 - 1
LON
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
SLA
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 1
LON
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |