Montpellier U19 vs Toulouse U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
1º
43
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
84% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 1
MON
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
COL
2 - 3
MON
24%
24%
53%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 1
MON
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
IST
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 2
MON
25%
20%
55%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 0
TOU
36%
23%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ETI
3 - 1
TOU
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 4
TOU
40%
23%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |