Montmajor vs Casserres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montmajor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CLL
3 - 0
MON
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
AVI
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SSC
0 - 0
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
PUI
69%
16%
14%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MON
4 - 1
PAL
55%
21%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
CLL
59%
19%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AVI
0 - 0
CAS
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
SSC
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
5 - 2
PUI
60%
19%
22%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 4
CAS
52%
20%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |