Montilla CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
38.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
BAR
2 - 1
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MON
2 - 0
LAP
36%
29%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
MON
1 - 1
CRD
34%
27%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CAC
3 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
MON
0 - 5
SAN
42%
28%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
LUC
1 - 0
CRD
40%
28%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CAC
3 - 0
LUC
36%
26%
37%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -3 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
LUC
1 - 2
SAN
44%
29%
28%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
VVA
2 - 2
LUC
47%
26%
28%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
LUC
0 - 0
AYA
56%
26%
18%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |