UD Montijo vs Cerdanyola FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
8º
17º
12º
39
12º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
38 | 39 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
57.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 34 |
16º
|
48.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
72% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Montijo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
DBN
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SEG
3 - 2
MON
58%
23%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cerdanyola FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CER
0 - 0
COR
48%
26%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DBN
0 - 1
CER
42%
26%
31%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CER
4 - 2
SEG
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CER
1 - 2
CDD
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
CER
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |