Monticelli vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
42%
24%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
OLY
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
USN
1 - 1
MON
8%
16%
77%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
FAB
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
SAN
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VIS
0 - 1
FRA
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
ASD
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
JES
1 - 2
FRA
34%
27%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 2
MAT
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |