League U19 Grupo A. Jor. 13

Montfermeil Sub 19 vs Le Havre Sub 19 analysis

Montfermeil Sub 19 Le Havre Sub 19
31 ELO 30
-10.8% Tilt -9.9%
8764º General ELO ranking 8335º
250º Country ELO ranking 227º
ELO win probability
40.1%
Montfermeil Sub 19
22.4%
Draw
37.5%
Le Havre Sub 19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
Montfermeil Sub 19
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
37.5%
Win probability
Le Havre Sub 19
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montfermeil Sub 19
-35%
-27%
Le Havre Sub 19

Points and table prediction

Montfermeil Sub 19
Their league position
Le Havre Sub 19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
12º
41
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSG U19
57
57
100%
Lille Sub 19
55
55
100%
Lens Sub 19
45
45
100%
Amiens SC Sub 19
44
44
100%
Valenciennes Sub 19
41
41
0%
Le Havre Sub 19
41
41
50.5%
Dunkerque Sub 19
40
41
49.5%
Montfermeil Sub 19
39
39
50.5%
Caen Sub 19
36
37
50.5%
Chambly Sub 19
10º
33
33
10º
100%
Stade de Reims Sub 19
11º
30
30
11º
100%
USM Saran Sub 19
12º
17
17
12º
86%
Montrouge Sub 19
13º
14
14
13º
86%
Quevilly Sub 19
14º
9
12
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Montfermeil Sub 19
Le Havre Sub 19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Montfermeil Sub 19
Le Havre Sub 19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montfermeil Sub 19
Montfermeil Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
MFC
Montrouge Sub 19
0 - 1
Montfermeil Sub 19
MON
13%
18%
69%
29 11 18 0
12 Nov. 2023
MON
Montfermeil Sub 19
2 - 0
74%
16%
11%
28 16 12 +1
05 Nov. 2023
CHA
Chambly Sub 19
1 - 1
Montfermeil Sub 19
MON
22%
21%
57%
29 18 11 -1
22 Oct. 2023
PSG
PSG U19
3 - 1
Montfermeil Sub 19
MON
75%
14%
12%
30 36 6 -1
15 Oct. 2023
MON
Montfermeil Sub 19
2 - 0
USM Saran Sub 19
SRA
74%
15%
11%
30 17 13 0

Matches

Le Havre Sub 19
Le Havre Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
HAV
Le Havre Sub 19
2 - 0
USM Saran Sub 19
SRA
76%
14%
10%
31 17 14 0
12 Nov. 2023
LIL
Lille Sub 19
1 - 1
Le Havre Sub 19
HAV
43%
23%
34%
30 30 0 +1
05 Nov. 2023
HAV
Le Havre Sub 19
2 - 0
Caen Sub 19
CAE
57%
21%
22%
30 26 4 0
22 Oct. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes Sub 19
3 - 3
Le Havre Sub 19
HAV
32%
23%
45%
30 24 6 0
15 Oct. 2023
HAV
Le Havre Sub 19
3 - 7
Dunkerque Sub 19
DKQ
70%
17%
13%
31 20 11 -1
X