League U19 Grupo A. Jor. 5

Montfermeil Sub 19 vs Caen Sub 19 analysis

Montfermeil Sub 19 Caen Sub 19
16 ELO 35
-1.1% Tilt -2.4%
8718º General ELO ranking 8687º
250º Country ELO ranking 246º
ELO win probability
11.9%
Montfermeil Sub 19
16.7%
Draw
71.4%
Caen Sub 19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
Montfermeil Sub 19
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.4%
Win probability
Caen Sub 19
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montfermeil Sub 19
-46%
-4%
Caen Sub 19

ELO progression

Montfermeil Sub 19
Caen Sub 19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montfermeil Sub 19
Montfermeil Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2020
CHA
Chambly Sub 19
2 - 0
Montfermeil Sub 19
MON
38%
22%
40%
17 15 2 0
06 Sep. 2020
MON
Montfermeil Sub 19
0 - 2
Saint-Pryve Sub 19
STP
51%
21%
28%
18 18 0 -1
30 Aug. 2020
LEN
Lens Sub 19
1 - 0
Montfermeil Sub 19
MON
76%
13%
11%
19 24 5 -1

Matches

Caen Sub 19
Caen Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2020
CAE
Caen Sub 19
3 - 0
Chambly Sub 19
CHA
88%
8%
4%
34 17 17 0
13 Sep. 2020
STP
Saint-Pryve Sub 19
2 - 3
Caen Sub 19
CAE
16%
19%
66%
33 19 14 +1
06 Sep. 2020
CAE
Caen Sub 19
1 - 0
Lens Sub 19
LEN
70%
16%
14%
33 24 9 0
08 Mar. 2020
HAV
Le Havre Sub 19
1 - 0
Caen Sub 19
CAE
46%
23%
31%
34 34 0 -1
16 Feb. 2020
CAE
Caen Sub 19
5 - 0
Orléans Sub 19
ORL
69%
17%
14%
34 26 8 0
X