Montevideo Wanderers vs Villa Teresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 4
MWA
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
REN
1 - 2
MWA
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MWA
0 - 0
DAN
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
MWA
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MWA
2 - 2
RAC
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
NAC
15%
24%
61%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
4 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
LFC
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
REN
1 - 0
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
DAN
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |