Apertura Uruguay round 17

Montevideo Wanderers vs Tacuarembó FC analysis

Montevideo Wanderers Tacuarembó FC
70 ELO 70
13.4% Tilt 2.7%
489º General ELO ranking 1192º
Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
54.4%
Montevideo Wanderers
24.1%
Draw
21.6%
Tacuarembó FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
Montevideo Wanderers
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.6%
Win probability
Tacuarembó FC
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montevideo Wanderers
-12%
+5%
Tacuarembó FC

ELO progression

Montevideo Wanderers
Tacuarembó FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montevideo Wanderers
Montevideo Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2005
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
1 - 1
Peñarol
PEÑ
34%
25%
41%
69 80 11 0
04 Dec. 2005
REN
Rentistas
2 - 2
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
55%
24%
22%
69 70 1 0
27 Nov. 2005
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
1 - 3
Rampla Juniors
JUN
53%
24%
23%
70 70 0 -1
19 Nov. 2005
ROC
Rocha FC
3 - 1
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
53%
24%
22%
70 72 2 0
06 Nov. 2005
NAC
Nacional
5 - 1
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
69%
19%
11%
71 83 12 -1

Matches

Tacuarembó FC
Tacuarembó FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2005
TAC
Tacuarembó FC
2 - 3
Danubio
DAN
32%
27%
42%
71 79 8 0
03 Dec. 2005
JUN
Rampla Juniors
4 - 1
Tacuarembó FC
TAC
54%
25%
22%
72 71 1 -1
27 Nov. 2005
TAC
Tacuarembó FC
0 - 1
Deportivo Colonia
COL
51%
26%
23%
73 69 4 -1
20 Nov. 2005
CER
Cerro CA
1 - 0
Tacuarembó FC
TAC
49%
26%
25%
73 71 2 0
06 Nov. 2005
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
0 - 0
Tacuarembó FC
TAC
59%
23%
18%
73 76 3 0