Montevideo Wanderers vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
9º
14º
10º
18
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 29 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 27 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 27 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 25 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 22 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 21 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 21 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 18 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 18 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 16 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 15 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 13 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 12 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 11 |
16º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CER
1 - 1
MWA
36%
29%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MWA
0 - 4
RIV
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 0
PEÑ
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FEN
1 - 1
MWA
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
MWA
3 - 0
DAN
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 2
LFC
36%
28%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
RAC
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 1
CER
53%
26%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RAC
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
RAC
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |