Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CSY
2 - 2
MWA
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 1
TOR
23%
24%
52%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
MWA
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MWA
2 - 1
REN
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 3
MWA
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 2
BOS
75%
18%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
PLA
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUD
0 - 2
NAC
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
PRO
72%
18%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |