Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
ETS
0 - 0
MWA
39%
26%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
MWA
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MWA
2 - 0
LFC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
RAC
3 - 2
MWA
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BVS
0 - 2
MWA
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 3
NAC
16%
23%
62%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
RAC
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAC
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
GAR
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 3
PEÑ
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |