Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 0
SUD
68%
19%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
RAC
0 - 1
MWA
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 2
RIV
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 1
MWA
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 3
DAN
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
DAN
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 2
DAN
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
DAN
1 - 2
RAC
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |