Montevarchi Calcio vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PIA
1 - 2
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 4
MON
30%
26%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
TOD
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ACM
0 - 1
MON
23%
24%
52%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
ASD
46%
26%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SSD
3 - 1
ACM
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SSD
1 - 2
TOD
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
SSD
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SSD
2 - 0
SCA
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
SSD
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |