Montevarchi Calcio vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SDT
1 - 1
MON
26%
28%
46%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
MON
69%
18%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
GRA
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 0
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
TIF
1 - 0
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
GAV
0 - 1
TRA
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SDT
1 - 1
GAV
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
SPO
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SCA
2 - 1
GAV
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 1
GAV
32%
23%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |