Montevarchi Calcio vs Castelvetro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
MON
16%
19%
66%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
PIA
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RIM
1 - 1
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
SAN
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
ROM
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 4
CAS
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
MEZ
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VFC
1 - 2
CAS
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |