Liga MX Clausura BBVA Bancomer League Round 9

Monterrey vs Toluca analysis

Monterrey Toluca
80 ELO 84
2.5% Tilt -5.1%
328º General ELO ranking 332º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.7%
Monterrey
26.4%
Draw
31.9%
Toluca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
Monterrey
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.9%
Win probability
Toluca
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Monterrey
+12%
+23%
Toluca

ELO progression

Monterrey
Toluca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monterrey
Monterrey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2015
MON
Monterrey
3 - 1
Veracruz
VER
58%
24%
19%
80 76 4 0
02 Mar. 2015
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
3 - 0
Monterrey
MON
34%
28%
38%
80 76 4 0
26 Feb. 2015
VER
Veracruz
0 - 1
Monterrey
MON
37%
27%
36%
80 75 5 0
22 Feb. 2015
MON
Monterrey
2 - 1
Querétaro
QRO
49%
26%
25%
80 79 1 0
18 Feb. 2015
MON
Monterrey
5 - 0
Altamira
ALT
68%
20%
12%
80 65 15 0

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2015
PUE
Puebla
1 - 0
Toluca
TOL
36%
27%
37%
84 79 5 0
01 Mar. 2015
TOL
Toluca
1 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
56%
23%
20%
84 83 1 0
25 Feb. 2015
TOL
Toluca
4 - 3
Puebla
PUE
61%
22%
17%
84 79 5 0
21 Feb. 2015
VER
Veracruz
3 - 0
Toluca
TOL
28%
28%
45%
84 74 10 0
18 Feb. 2015
ATL
Atlante FC
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
28%
27%
45%
84 71 13 0