Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
VER
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 0
MON
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
VER
0 - 1
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
QRO
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
MON
5 - 0
ALT
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 0
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAZ
56%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 3
PUE
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VER
3 - 0
TOL
28%
28%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |