Copa MX . Final
Global 2-1
Monterrey vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
CAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MAZ
1 - 2
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
TIJ
0 - 1
MON
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
PUE
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
QRO
1 - 2
MON
22%
25%
52%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
TIJ
0 - 2
PAC
28%
26%
47%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 0
TIJ
52%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
TIJ
0 - 1
MON
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NEC
2 - 0
TIJ
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
TIJ
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |