Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Monterrey vs Atl. San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
MON
37%
26%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
QRO
0 - 0
MON
27%
26%
46%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAC
0 - 2
MON
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
NEC
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
MON
37%
26%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
AUR
3 - 2
LEO
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 2
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TIG
2 - 2
AUR
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 1
AME
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |