CONCACAF Champions Cup . Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MAZ
1 - 1
MON
33%
24%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
PUM
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
PUE
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
RGV
1 - 5
MON
7%
17%
77%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 2
CAZ
26%
28%
47%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAZ
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
CAZ
0 - 2
MAZ
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 2
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
AUB
0 - 1
CAZ
12%
20%
68%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |