Monterey Bay vs Ventura County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
78.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterey Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NMU
2 - 0
MBF
88%
10%
3%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
MBF
1 - 0
SAC
7%
18%
75%
|
25 | 58 | 33 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
SDL
1 - 0
MBF
90%
8%
2%
|
25 | 59 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MBF
1 - 0
EPL
7%
17%
76%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 1
MBF
85%
10%
6%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LAG
1 - 1
CHA
68%
18%
15%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 2
NMU
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 0
LAG
15%
19%
66%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
LAG
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 5
ORA
53%
23%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |