Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
10º
38
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
MPA
5 - 1
MON
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
CMF
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
VER
0 - 0
MON
37%
29%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
LIO
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
ARN
19%
24%
58%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
DFC
0 - 1
MOL
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
DFC
0 - 0
WAT
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
DFC
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
DFC
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DFC
1 - 2
CAV
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |