Montego Bay United vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
6º
3º
76
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
93 | 93 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 58 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
VER
1 - 2
MON
17%
25%
58%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
CMF
0 - 1
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
HAR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
MPA
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
MON
0 - 0
RUF
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 21 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
ARN
4 - 1
DFC
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
ARN
2 - 2
RUF
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 23 | 48 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
CMF
0 - 5
ARN
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
VER
0 - 2
ARN
10%
19%
71%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
ARN
0 - 0
POR
57%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |