Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
TOK
0 - 0
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
MON
2 - 3
THE
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
MIT
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 0
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
VEN
2 - 1
JEF
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
JEF
1 - 2
TOK
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
ZWE
0 - 2
JEF
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
JEF
0 - 1
TOC
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
MIT
0 - 3
JEF
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |