Montecarlo vs Mallén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
UDM
1 - 3
UDS
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CFV
1 - 1
UDM
57%
22%
22%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
UDM
0 - 3
SAA
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ALF
3 - 1
UDM
35%
24%
42%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
UDM
1 - 3
DEL
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mallén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
DEL
1 - 2
MAL
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 3
UDS
13%
20%
67%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ZUE
2 - 1
MAL
74%
16%
11%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 2
CFV
25%
26%
49%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MAG
3 - 0
MAL
53%
22%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |