Montecarlo vs Barbastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LAL
1 - 0
UDM
20%
24%
56%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UDM
3 - 0
CDM
62%
22%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GIN
0 - 0
UDM
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CDA
0 - 1
UDM
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
56%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barbastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
4 - 0
CDA
48%
24%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
BAR
74%
17%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
UDB
41%
25%
34%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |