Monte Azul vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
BER
2 - 1
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
OES
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 0
MON
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MON
3 - 2
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ATI
1 - 0
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
XVD
2 - 1
POR
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
POR
0 - 3
AGU
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
ATI
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
POR
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |