Montceau vs Paron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
FCG
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FCG
4 - 0
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
JUR
1 - 0
MON
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 1
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SOC
3 - 1
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 2
SOC
19%
22%
59%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 4
PON
34%
23%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
MOR
33%
23%
45%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
APO
1 - 1
PAR
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 1
DIJ
12%
19%
69%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +3 |