Montceau vs Mâcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
54%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
14º
13º
54
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
APO
55%
21%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
QUE
3 - 1
MON
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 4
PON
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SOC
5 - 0
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 0
UNI
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 3
MAC
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 3
MAC
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 1
MAC
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
APO
67%
18%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |