Montceau vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 3
MON
39%
30%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LYO
0 - 0
MON
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MON
4 - 1
FCM
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
MON
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
GAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GAZ
1 - 1
FCM
41%
27%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
AGD
0 - 0
GAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GAZ
1 - 0
GAP
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 4
GAZ
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |