Montcada vs Mataró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
62.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montcada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 3
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
RSS
15%
18%
68%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CFM
2 - 1
MON
73%
17%
11%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MON
3 - 5
BOS
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 0
MON
75%
14%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mataró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CEM
1 - 2
MAN
32%
22%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CGI
3 - 1
CEM
27%
20%
53%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CEM
2 - 0
BLA
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOS
4 - 4
CEM
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 2
CEM
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |