Tercera Playoffs . Final
Global 3-4
Montañesa vs Sestao River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montañesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
SES
2 - 1
MON
43%
28%
29%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
RAY
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 0
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
46%
25%
28%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sestao River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
SES
2 - 1
MON
43%
28%
29%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
LPA
3 - 2
SES
67%
19%
13%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SES
1 - 0
LPA
35%
28%
37%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SES
2 - 0
CDT
37%
29%
35%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CDT
0 - 1
SES
69%
19%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |