Montalegre vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SMA
5 - 4
MON
65%
20%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
TOR
76%
15%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 2
MON
11%
16%
73%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
FAF
24%
26%
50%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GFC
0 - 0
MER
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TAI
1 - 0
GFC
9%
18%
73%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GFC
1 - 0
ADO
81%
13%
5%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
VIZ
0 - 0
GFC
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
OSL
0 - 2
GFC
8%
19%
72%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | +1 |