Monovar A vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monovar A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
MON
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ELD
0 - 1
MON
62%
18%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
CDC
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 0
MON
38%
22%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 2
MON
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 2
RAF
66%
20%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 0
ALG
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ASP
0 - 0
RAF
77%
15%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 2
RAC
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 2
GUS
16%
18%
66%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |