Monmouth Town FC vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
47.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monmouth Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
CWU
68%
17%
16%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LID
3 - 1
MON
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
YWF
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
UND
4 - 3
MON
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
POR
0 - 6
LLA
12%
16%
72%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 1
SUF
33%
24%
44%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAR
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +3 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 4
PON
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
3 - 3
TRE
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |