Monforte vs Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PEA
0 - 4
MON
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
RAY
44%
22%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
COC
1 - 3
MON
15%
16%
69%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
BNY
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 4
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PET
5 - 1
RAY
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
BNY
3 - 2
PET
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
CAS
31%
21%
48%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
PET
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PET
1 - 3
NUC
12%
16%
71%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |