Monesterio vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monesterio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GIM
0 - 2
MON
25%
24%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SPH
0 - 4
MON
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
ADL
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CPR
3 - 1
MON
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
CAM
52%
24%
23%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
MET
59%
21%
21%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UDF
0 - 0
GUA
82%
12%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
UCL
8%
17%
75%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SPR
3 - 2
GUA
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 3
OLY
32%
26%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |