Mondragón vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mondragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
BIN
3 - 1
MON
70%
16%
14%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
MON
2 - 1
MIR
78%
13%
10%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
BAS
2 - 0
MON
51%
22%
28%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
HUE
1 - 1
MON
80%
12%
8%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
MON
4 - 0
TUD
87%
8%
5%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
NUM
0 - 1
AFT
84%
10%
6%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
SSC
7 - 1
NUM
77%
14%
10%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
NUM
2 - 0
MIR
76%
13%
11%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
IZA
4 - 1
NUM
79%
12%
9%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
NUM
2 - 3
HUE
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |