Campeonato de Portugal Ronda Ascenso. Jor. 5

Moncarapachense vs Os Belenenses analysis

Moncarapachense Os Belenenses
42 ELO 57
-12.1% Tilt -14.3%
5702º General ELO ranking 4094º
95º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
19.8%
Moncarapachense
27.1%
Draw
53.1%
Os Belenenses

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
Moncarapachense
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
53.1%
Win probability
Os Belenenses
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Moncarapachense
+38%
-21%
Os Belenenses

ELO progression

Moncarapachense
Os Belenenses
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Moncarapachense
Moncarapachense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2022
OLH
Olhanense
0 - 2
Moncarapachense
MON
55%
24%
21%
41 44 3 0
10 Apr. 2022
PER
Pêro Pinheiro
0 - 1
Moncarapachense
MON
31%
28%
41%
40 35 5 +1
03 Apr. 2022
MON
Moncarapachense
1 - 1
Sertanense
SER
50%
26%
24%
40 38 2 0
20 Mar. 2022
GDF
Fontinhas
2 - 1
Moncarapachense
MON
50%
25%
26%
41 42 1 -1
06 Mar. 2022
MON
Moncarapachense
1 - 1
Serpa
SER
69%
17%
14%
41 29 12 0

Matches

Os Belenenses
Os Belenenses
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2022
BEL
Os Belenenses
3 - 1
Pêro Pinheiro
PER
77%
17%
6%
57 34 23 0
10 Apr. 2022
SER
Sertanense
1 - 1
Os Belenenses
BEL
13%
26%
61%
57 38 19 0
03 Apr. 2022
BEL
Os Belenenses
2 - 0
Fontinhas
GDF
66%
21%
13%
57 42 15 0
20 Mar. 2022
OLH
Olhanense
1 - 1
Os Belenenses
BEL
24%
28%
48%
57 45 12 0
06 Mar. 2022
BEL
Os Belenenses
2 - 1
Coruchense
COR
77%
17%
6%
57 30 27 0
X