Monção vs Melgacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+126%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AAR
0 - 2
MON
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
NEV
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 1
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAC
5 - 1
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MON
2 - 3
PON
21%
23%
56%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Melgacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 3
COU
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
MLI
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AAR
3 - 0
MEL
68%
18%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PON
3 - 0
MEL
55%
22%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 12
RON
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -2 |