Monaro Panthers vs O'Connor Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
CAN
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
YOO
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
TUG
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
COO
4 - 0
MON
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TUG
1 - 2
OKF
17%
18%
64%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
OKF
3 - 2
COO
46%
23%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
OKF
3 - 0
CAN
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
GUN
4 - 2
OKF
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -3 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
OKF
2 - 4
CAN
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |