Monaro Panthers vs Gungahlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
YOO
0 - 3
MON
9%
15%
76%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
OKF
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
CAN
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
YOO
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gungahlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GUN
1 - 0
CAN
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 3
GUN
62%
19%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GUN
1 - 0
TUG
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 3
GUN
13%
17%
70%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
COO
0 - 3
GUN
54%
21%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |