Monagas vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
MON
1 - 4
TRU
51%
26%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MIN
2 - 0
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ARA
4 - 0
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
TAC
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
ZAM
2 - 1
MON
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
POR
1 - 1
MAR
36%
29%
34%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CFC
2 - 0
POR
60%
22%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
POR
1 - 1
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
POR
4 - 3
MIN
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
TRU
1 - 3
POR
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |