Monagas vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MON
0 - 0
POR
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
MON
1 - 4
TRU
51%
26%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MIN
2 - 0
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ARA
4 - 0
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
TAC
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 0
CFC
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CFC
1 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CFC
2 - 0
POR
60%
22%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
MIN
3 - 2
CFC
45%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CFC
1 - 1
TRU
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |