Monaco vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
MON
1 - 0
GRE
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
REN
1 - 3
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
MON
2 - 1
LEN
57%
22%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
SED
4 - 1
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
MON
2 - 0
SED
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
NÎM
2 - 0
TRO
83%
11%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
TRO
0 - 2
FCR
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
TRO
0 - 5
NIC
28%
22%
50%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
REN
2 - 2
TRO
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
LYO
5 - 2
TRO
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |